California carbon permit prices plummet in latest auction

By Camille von Kaenel | 06/02/2025 06:06 AM EDT

The Newsom administration was counting on high revenues from the program to backfill a state deficit.

The Conoco oil refinery in Rodeo, California.

Carbon traders aren't sure what the future holds for California's signature climate program, and it's now seriously affecting state revenues. Rich Pedroncelli/AP

SACRAMENTO, California — Prices for California carbon emission permits fell Thursday to their lowest level in four years amid continued questions about the program’s future.

What happened: The quarterly sale of pollution permits that high-emitting companies buy from state regulators to cover their operations in California saw prices settle at $25.87 per ton of carbon in the May 21 sale, $3.40 below the February 2025 price. The auction failed to sell all of the available allowances — marking the first time since the pandemic that demand hasn’t met available supplies.

The sale generated roughly $595 million for state coffers, half the proceeds of last year’s May auction.

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Why this matters: The results do not portend well for the state’s coffers at a time when the state is already facing a roughly $12 billion budget deficit. Gov. Gavin Newsom’s (D) administration had proposed backfilling cuts to the general fund with the usually reliable revenue generated from the cap-and-trade auctions, but had assumed prices would be at $38 per ton.

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